Gold could test new highs of $2,100 per ounce this year, according to a resource analyst at fund management company Fat Prophets.
“We do think across the course of 2022, we will see the gold price testing at the all-time record highs, but we can’t see it traveling much beyond that once it gets there,” he said.
Gold prices closed at a record $2,063 in August 2020, according to data provider Eikon. It was trading at about $1,814 per ounce on Wednesday morning in Asia.
Lennox said it looks like everything is in place for the U.S. dollar to decline, though it hasn’t happened yet. If the greenback weakens, it would be a “boon” for gold, he added.
Meanwhile, inflation in the U.S. is close to 6% — up from around 1%, he said. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation and increases in value as the dollar declines, but its track record has been spotty in the past.
“We do believe that high momentum in inflation and that lower U.S. dollar is going to drive the gold price higher in 2022,” he added.
Geopolitical tensions between major military powers could also drive up gold prices earlier than expected, Lennox said.
In particular, Russia’s military presence along its border with Ukraine has been building up, and that’s “a focus point where it could quickly turn to something disastrous,” he said.
“If that happened, then we would see the gold price reacting quite significantly and our … $2,100 an ounce [target] would probably get here sooner rather than later,” he added.